How to Track Prediction Market Probabilities with OpenClaw
Track prediction market probabilities with OpenClaw and ToolRouter. Automated Polymarket monitoring for analysts.
Tool
OpenClaw monitors Polymarket probabilities on a schedule. Track key event markets daily, receive structured updates when probabilities shift significantly, and build a historical record of market consensus across events you are monitoring — maintaining continuous awareness without manual checks.
Connect ToolRouter to OpenClaw
1Install the CLI
npm install -g toolrouter-mcp2Call tools directly from OpenClaw
toolrouter-mcp call web-search search --query "AI tools"
toolrouter-mcp toolsSteps
Once connected (see setup above), use the Polymarket tool:
- Ask: "Get current prices for these Polymarket markets: [list of market slugs or topics]"
- OpenClaw returns current probabilities for each market
- Ask: "Flag any market where the probability has shifted more than 5 percentage points"
Example Prompt
Try this with OpenClaw using the Polymarket tool
Monitor these Polymarket markets daily: [list markets]. Return current probability for each, the previous reading, and the change. Flag any that have moved more than 5 percentage points since yesterday.
Tips
- Log probability snapshots daily to build a forecast history for post-event accuracy analysis
- Set threshold alerts for markets where a probability shift above a certain level is strategically significant to you
- Track related markets together — election, economic policy, and regulatory markets often move in correlated ways