Track Prediction Market Probabilities

Polls and forecasters disagree. Pundits have no skin in the game. Prediction markets are different: they aggregate the collective judgment of people who stake real money on outcomes, creating probability estimates that consistently outperform alternative forecasting methods on verifiable events.

The Polymarket skill retrieves live market prices — which directly represent probabilities — for active markets. A price of 0.67 means participants collectively believe there is a 67% chance of the outcome occurring. The list_markets skill discovers which events currently have active markets, while get_market and get_market_price retrieve specific probability readings.

Journalists, policy analysts, risk managers, and researchers tracking election outcomes, regulatory decisions, or macroeconomic events use this to access the market consensus probability without building a Polymarket integration themselves.